Stallions Ghore Fera Split Mind Art by Partha

Existence of Extraterrestrial Life – Probabilities and Possibilities

Author: Partha Sircar | Posted on: 5th, Sep, 2020

Over the last decade or so, new astronomical discoveries have come up by leaps and bounds. The size of the universe has grown by orders of magnitude. And with it, the identified numbers of stars and planets have grown immensely. We have always envisioned the existence of intelligent creatures like us existing in other planets. Now with the presence of billions and billions of planets, the existence of intelligent life like ours appears to be almost a certainty.

A friend of mine was recently toying with the dream of being reborn in such a planet with intelligent creatures like us, or even more intelligent, around him. This got me thinking and my thoughts branched out in several directions, some probably quite far-fetched. The first obvious question is: what is the probability of such a world existing or more importantly ‘not existing’? Probabilities are rarely ever hundred percent or zero, always somewhere in between. Admittedly, there are billions and billions of planets and one is logically inclined to expect some planet(s) somewhere which could satisfy my friend’s dream (100 percent probability). However, there may be a few deterrents to getting to that 100 percent. For one, human beings and life for that matter appeared on earth after several million years of its existence and will probably disappear but the earth will likely live on a few million years after that. Assuming it is similar for all other planets, the time spans for the presence of intelligent life in different planets will likely occur at different times – they may not necessarily overlap. My friend, therefore, has to find a planet, where intelligent life is currently existing, to be reborn in, Therefore, there is just a narrow window of opportunity for my friend to cash on, reducing the probability some.

And there is more. I happen to recall something written by the famous scientist, late Stephen Hawking in his bestseller, ‘A Brief History of Time. He was a confirmed atheist. Yet, in his first book he wrote something to the effect that if the earth was slightly closer to or further from the sun, or slightly different in size, or had a few other differences, the temperatures, pressures and gravitational forces on earth would be slightly different. These slight differences would be enough to preclude the existence of any living form, let alone intelligent life. To me, this was an eye-opener. The constraints spelled out by Hawking would greatly reduce the number of potential planets capable of nurturing intelligent life thereby greatly reducing the probability further. These are all an outcome of physics and statistics.  We do not need a God in here to satisfy the logic, though we may be inclined to bring him into the mix.

With this, I was reminded that Holy Mother Sarada Devi is reported having said after being asked the question, something to the effect, “No, there is no other place in the universe where man-like intelligent creatures exist”. Of course, she had no definitive scientific basis for her statement. But till proven otherwise, we have little gone on to refute her divinely inspired statement (of course I am not fully sure if she had actually said that!).

Epilogue

I have recently come across a very interesting article in the recent edition of the Popular Mechanics publication. I attach the link below.

https://apple.news/AyrMf7_rmTCys4QwqJB9tqg

The article reports some scientific studies which claim that in our universe there could be about 36 or so planets where there is the possibility of the existence of human life.  The finding is based on something called the Drake Equation, and it assumes that it takes the same amount of time, 5 billion years for intelligent life to form on other planets as it did on our Earth.  I could not but be thrilled with the finding.  It comes so close to my rudimentary speculation.  After all, there are several billion stars in our Milky Way (where our earth and our sun reside).  Thirty-six out of several billion is not too far from my ‘zero’.  In fact, the article clarifies that the calculated numbers range from a piddly 4 to a high of 211, indicating the level of uncertainty in the numbers.  Also,  near the end of the article, it even mentions that there may not be any active civilizations in our galaxy.

Comments »

No comments yet.

RSS feed for comments on this post. TrackBack URL

Leave a comment

What’s new

Our Picture Board

https://usbengalforum.com/ourpictureboard/

https://www.amazon.com/Detour-Incredible-Tales-That-Take/dp/1943190224

Collection of short stories: A book written by Sunil Ghose.

 

p/1943190224Paperback and e-book formats. Please click below:

https://play.google.com/store/books/details?id=zLrHEAAAQBAJ
Editor’s book:
https://www.archwaypublishing.com/en/bookstore/bookdetails/829905-born-in-heaven
Poems – I keep Searching for you, Poems of Twilight Years from Kamal Acharyya.
Short Story:
নারী স্বাধীনতা – Soumi Jana
ঝুমকির ঝমক্ – Krishna Chaudhuri
Variety – মেচ রমনীর দোকনা ফাস্রা – Dr. Shibsankar Pal
সেলাই দিদিমণি, Women help in Carpet making. – Dr Shibsankar Pal.
Arts – Partha Ghosh

Q4-2023 contributors (School and College)
Koushik Dutta
Aniruddha Pal
Srestha Chakraborty

Q1-2024
Arnab Dalui
Deblina Singha Roy

Q3-2024
Saniya Bharti
Anwesha Dey
Neelkantha Saha

Our deep appreciation for many young contributors in all categories.

Quotes

Funniest Quotes about ageing

“First you forget names, then you forget faces, then you forget to pull your zipper up, then you forget to pull your zipper down.”
– *Leo Rosenberg*

HAPPY AGEING AND GROWING

Day's history

15th June

1844 Charles Goodyear patents the vulcanization of rubber
1916 Boeing Model 1, the 1st Boeing product, flies for the 1st time

16th June

1884 1st roller coaster used (Coney Island NY)
1963 Valentina Tereshkova (USSR) is a 1st woman in space, aboard Vostok 6

17th June

1756 Nawab Siraj-Ud-Daulah attacked Calcutta with 50,000 soldiers and captured it on June 21.
1858 Rani Lakshmibai, queen of Jhansi in North India died, one of the leading figures of the Indian rebellion of 1857 (b. 1828)
1944 Iceland declares independence from Denmark

18th June

1898 1st amusement pier opens in Atlantic City, New Jersey
1946 Dr. Ram Manohar Lohia, a Socialist calls for a Direct Action Day against the Portuguese in Goa. A road is named after this date in Panjim

19th June

1963 Valentina Tereshkova 1st woman in space returns to Earth
2008 Barun Sengupta, Bengali journalist died (b. 1934)

20th June

1756 Black Hole of Calcutta: 146 British soldiers, Anglo-Indian soldiers, and Indian civilians are imprisoned in a small dungeon in Calcutta, India where most die from suffocation and heat exhaustion
1756 Siraj Ud-Daulah Nawab of Bengal takes Calcutta from the British

21st June

1906 Vyomeshchandra Banerjee, first president of All India Congress, passed away.
1791 Fleeing French King Louis XVI and family captured at Varennes-en-Argonne
1998 “Home Alone” actor Macaulay Culkin (17) weds broadway actress Rachel Miner (17) in Stone Church in New Preston, Connecticut

 

Day's humor

Week's Horoscope

Horoscope